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Resources for Bayesian Reasoning
 
  
Working with decibels (dB)

Click on the sound files to hear the difference between the baseline and different levels of amplification 

Baseline
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3 dB louder than baseline
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5 dB louder than baseline
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10 dB louder than baseline
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smallest difference an adult with good hearing can perceive

clearly noticeable difference

twice as loud

20 dB louder than baseline
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30 dB louder than baseline
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four times louder

eight times louder

Video demo: parsing and weighing the evidence 

"Bayesian Reasoning for Qualitative Social Science," talk delivered to Oxford University's Department of Social Policy and Intervention, May 2021. 

"Bayesian Reasoning with Tasha Fairfield," Albert Hirschman Centre on Democracy, with Matias Lopez  

"Bayesian Process Tracing!" on Rocking Our Priors with Alice Evans

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